November climate data across southeast Arizona. Additionally this is the fifteenth April in the past seventeen that the airport recorded below normal rainfall. Last year, the Almanac predicted many of the 2021-2022 winter storms, most notably: the early-season nor'easter in the end of October, and the unusual blizzard in the last week of April (in parts of Montana, Wyoming, and the Dakotas). NWS It's not . HOME > Outlook Maps >Seasonal Forecast Discussion. A Strong 2024 La Nina and a new "Cold Pacific Ocean Phase" will usher in Dangerous . A high minimum temperature of 75 on the 27th set a new daily record, eclipsing the old record of 73 from 1963 & 1989. La Nia is expected to be the main driver for the third winter in a row. Visit the Farmers Almanac website or Facebook page to learn more about the forecast. Expect a few rainy days but usually not more than 3. hit 113.9 degrees F, 45.5 degrees C. Amazing. At least a somewhat colder February is also possible in the Pacific Northwest, Northern California and the central Plains. It ended being the coolest Fall since 2006. NOTE: The Winter 2022 Tier for MEMBERS and ANYONE INTERESTED is OPEN FOR JANUARY THROUGH END FEBRUARY WITH REDUCED SEASONAL TIER RATES. What is the chance of rain in Arizona in January? Two-thirds of climatological Fall is in the books and 2022 ranks as the 15th warmest & 56th driest on record with one month left to go. Its the best time of year to visit if youre a fan of hiking, for example. NWS Tucson Arizona520 North Park Ave, Suite 304Tucson, AZ 85719(520) 670-6526Comments? . 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec December This cold front brought a cooler air mass with morning lows on the 25th being in the upper 30's to mid 40's. With that in mind, let's dig into the month-by-month details and follow up with some of the factors driving this forecast. Temperature extremes for the month ranged from a high 94 on the 3rd to a low of 43 on the 25th. Only In Your State reported that the state will be seeing some insane polar temperature swings this winter. This is tied with 2008 for the lowest Spring average dating back to 1946. According to the CPC, there is a 66% chance that La Nia conditions could last from November 2021 to January 2022. 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Some of our favorite winter destinations in Arizona include the adorable little town of Flagstaff, the amazing Mount Lemmon in southern Arizona (the drive up alone is incredible), and mountain towns like Payson and Prescott. Here in the Valley, showers will be off and on throughout overnight. The newest edition of the 230-year-old series projects the 2021-22 winter as a particularly cold one, dubbing it the "season of shivers." The almanac's editor, Janice Stillman, says it could even . The International airport, which is the official recording spot in Tucson, recorded 0.19" which ranks as the 29th driest March on record, tied with 1949 & 1966. December climate data across southeast Arizona, Winter climate data across southeast Arizona. The last seven days of the month was dry with below normal high and low temperatures. That's more in line with what's typically expected in La Nia winters. There should be enough snow on the ground still if you're looking to hit the slopes, but any further lashing will (hopefully) hold off for a little while longer. If it says liked, dont hit it because thats unfollowing and you wont get updates at AZWF page on your feed. No matter which part of Arizona youre from (or plan to visit), winter is a great time to arrive. The International airport, which is the official recording spot in Tucson, was on the dry side as just over one and a third of an inch /1.34"/ was recorded. In northern Arizona, its snowy and chilly, though usually still quite dry. Looking ahead into February The Climate Prediction Center forecasts a 47% chance of above normal temperatures and a 45% chance of below normal precipitation. The monthly average temperature of 85.8 is 1.1 BELOW normal ranks as the 38th warmest August on record. Two were for record highs and three were for record warm low temperatures and all of them occurred in December. Here was the tweet the office issued. Temperature extremes for the month ranged from a high of 100 on the 26th to a low of 39 on the 13th. Snowfall will be below normal in most areas that normally receive snow, with the snowiest periods in early to mid-January and early February. 27, 2022 The posted Quail Forever forecast of a bird hatch in NM and AZ is pretty bleak with drought conditions continuing throughout the Southwest. November 2022 to October 2023 Winter will be warmer than normal, with above-normal precipitation. With record to near-record heat blistering Colorado on Monday, you might think the smoke in the air is from a Colorado wildfire. For only the third time since 1910, no temperature records were set during the first three months of the year. According to the Farmers' Almanac winter weather forecast for Arizona, the 2022-2023 winter season will be a milder affair this year - though drier than average, too. Dating back to 1910, every year has had a least one daily rainfall record be broken. Dry and warmer temperatures were on tap from the 17th to the 22nd. The March-April-May (MAM) 2023 temperature outlook favors below-normal. Weather Forecast Office. In winter 2020-21, the polar vortex weakened, and even though La Nia was in place, a major cold outbreak contributed to the 19th-coldest February on record in the Lower 48. #azwx #cawx https://t.co/G7FkHhFGSt. Amounts ranged from 3" to 8" with localized higher amounts up to 12". RELATED: Heat-related deaths hit historic high in 2021. National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration The International airport, which is the official recording spot in Tucson, recorded 4.13" which ranks as the 52nd driest Summer on record. For the first Summer since 2010 & the sixth time since 1980, there were no record highs set or tied at the airport. This is the most of any calendar month thus far in the 21st century. In northern Arizona, its snowy and chilly, though usually still quite dry. This ties the monthly record previously set in 2017. Winter 2022-2023 should be dominated by an active storm track in the eastern half of the country, running from the western Gulf of Mexico to the northeast, across the Virginias, and across interior New York State and New England. Click Here To Join The Page Today. If you are NOT receiving the e-mails and are a full member, your account is either expired or you need to troubleshoot. It will definitely seem like it in January though, but we still have February, March, and April left, that of which can easily add more storms into the forecast. The state's smoky skies were caused by a wildfire in Arizona, but the National Weather service said Monday's smoke and heat will be gone Tuesday. It begins just at the backend of Arizonas monsoon season, which officially comes to a close on Sept. 30. According to the Farmers Almanac winter weather forecast for Arizona, the 2022-2023 winter season will be a milder affair this year though drier than average, too. The new year began on a wet note when a winter storm impacted the area as the calendar turned from 2021 to 2022. Arizona weather in January 2024 The temperatures in Arizona in January are quite cold with temperatures between 48F and 66F, warm clothes are a must. Nov. 17, 2022 Finally. Coming off one of the WETTEST years on record in 2021 where the airport recorded 15.19", the outlook called for enhanced probabilities for below normal rainfall through the Spring season then equal chances for below, near or above normal rainfall for the remainder of the year. NWS Tucson Arizona. As always, stay tuned toArizona Weather Forcefor official forecasts and updates on weather across Arizona and if it says like page below, hit the button and get future updates. While there were no companion predictions for central and southern Arizona, Geiger said the cold from the north will likely permeate the south, making it comparatively cold for the states lower deserts. The International airport, which is the official recording spot in Tucson, recorded only 0.81" which is around a half an inch below normal and ranks as the 53rd driest September on record, tied with 1949. Detailed Weather Forecast for February 8 in Az Zubayr, Mufazat al Barah, Iraq - temperature, wind, atmospheric pressure, humidity and precipitations - World-Weather.info . Could Arizona be in for another dry winter, leading to even worse drought conditions? Enter any city, zip or place. After a week of travel, a bout with a head cold, and a new A-fib diagnosis, hiked some beautiful country with the Britts. There are indications that weak cutoff systems under the raging jet could bring more precipitation to Tucson than say even Phoenix, but the amount just doesnt look so high, but bears watching for that area sometime mid-month. Kristin Murphy, Deseret News Flannel, hot chocolate and snowshoes are in the winter forecast from the Farmers' Almanac, which is predicting a shivery 2022-2023 winter for most of the United States. Winter- It's Coming! The snowpack in the Upper Colorado River Basin was at 133 percent of the 30-year historical average as of Monday, and sits at 101 percent of what the basin has received on average through an . Questions? Antarctic Winter of 2022 - Coldest on Record. Temperature extremes for the month ranged from a high of 79 on the 27th to a low of 30 on the 15th & 17th. We start off the new year here with the January 2022 forecast. Nearly 10,000 power outages were reported in Arizona Wednesday as a winter storm passed through the state, one of many places in the U.S. dealing with winter Climate Predictions 6-10 Days 8-14 Day Climate Probability Official 30-Day Forecast The above maps are from the National Weather Service Climate Prediction Center. Please Contact Us. Rainfall occurred across the metro area over three time periods during the month. The monthly average temperature of 54.3 is almost two degrees below normal and ranks as the 59th warmest February on record. Fetch the Scottsdale, Arizona daily observations from AerisWeather. Los Angeles had near 9.50 of rainfall during the month alone with a normal amount of 2.48, which is unprecedented and will be the third highest amount during the month of December since records began, only behind 1989 and 2010. Drought, wildfires, heat and monsoon storms: Arizona has seen its fair share of severe weather. WeatherTAB Flagstaff, Arizona Help C F. This story does not necessarily represent the position of our parent company, IBM. A generally colder than usual winter is expected in the northern tier of states. Expect snowy days, but not as many as we usually see (which isn't great for this whole drought situation we're in). The MAIN PAGE of this website has every alert/article issued at current. Weather wise, is January a good time to visit Arizona? This month the airport recorded 9 days which is the highest amount dating back to 1948. The Climate Prediction Center forecasts for temperature a 48% chance that they will end up above normal and a 19% chance that they will end up below normal. Scattered light showers and high elevation mountain snow occurred on the evening of the 23rd and the morning of the 24th were associated with a passing cold front. The yearly high temperature was 111 on June 16th while the yearly low temperature was 26 on February 3rd. The 1981-2010 climate normal period was used from the late 2011 to early 2021. In December, the best chance of at least somewhat colder than usual temperatures is expected in the East, from the Great Lakes to the Northeast and mid-Atlantic states. A couple of weak weather systems moved across the area on the 28th through 30th bringing the area another shot of valley rain and mountain snow. Rainfall amounts were mostly between 0.25" and 0.75". Alaska through Central and Northern Canada to Greenland. These drought conditions developed after a drier-than-normal 2020 monsoon season and a dry 2020/2021 winter season. One record temperature was set during the month. The wather in Arizona in January can vary between cold and nice weather days. Temperature extremes ranged from a high of 105 on May 15th to a low of 33 on March 8th. Thanks to the new warmer 30-year climate normals, which went into effect last year, the average yearly temperature this year through the end of March is below normal although it was warmer than two years ago (56.8 vs 56.5). The forecast panned out well for precipitation as it was drier than normal while February came in cooler than normal thanks to the average monthly low temperature being 4.7 below normal. The Climate Prediction Center forecasts for temperature a 36% chance that they will end up above normal and a 31% chance that they will end up below normal. The Farmers' Almanac is out with their Extended Winter Outlook for 2021-2022 and is calling for a "Frosty Flip-Flop Winter". There were only seven days that recorded triple digit highs, which is eight days below the normal of 15 days for August. Precipitation across the metro area, using several sources like rainlog.org, the Pima County Regional Flood Control District gages and CoCoRaHS, ranged from 1.75" to 4.00" with the highest totals occurring north of Tangerine Road extending east from Dove Mountain in Marana to the northern part of Oro Valley. According to The Farmer's Almanac, Arizona's 2021-2022 winter season will bring along a "polar coaster" with temperature swings lasting well into March of 2022. Take control of your data. How do you feel about the upcoming milder, drier (especially drier than this last monsoon season, hoo boy) winter we might have? NWS The previous two occurrences were in 1984 & 2010. The coldest periods will be in late November, mid- and late December, and mid-January. You'll receive your first newsletter soon! The water year is well below normal since October 1st at 2.03" which ranks as the 8th driest water year to date with four months left in the water year calendar. No rain was recorded across the metro area, using several sources like rainlog.org, the Pima County Regional Flood Control District gages and CoCoRaHS. CLICK HERE TO GO, The following articles were talked about in this write-up, November 5, 2021 A record cool high temperature was set on the 24th with a high of 67 breaking the record of 68 from 1936 & 1978. Odds are tilted toward a colder than average winter from the Northern Plains and Great Lakes to northern New England. The forecast for precipitation is a 33% chance that they will be above normal and a 33% chance that they will end up below normal. This material may not be published, broadcast, rewritten, or redistributed. For the first time since 2004, the average Fall temperature was below normal. The best chance of a colder-than-average January will be in northern Minnesota. The states climate is varied and unique, featuring many different biomes and environments. The widely followed youtube weather channel, is calling for a mixed bag of weather this upcoming winter season. The National Weather Service in Phoenix predicts that Arizona is going to have a very wet and active monsoon season this summer, with nearly a 70% chance of precipitation expected to reach near. Get the latest articles, videos, and news about Washington State on Flipboard. The last time back-to-back Octobers' were BELOW normal was back in the 1980's when there was a string of SEVEN straight BELOW normal Octobers' from 1980 to 1986. This month a raging jet into the Pacific Northwest, which has no blocking. 2022 monsoon season in Arizona expected to be above-normal - good news for state agriculture . The Climate Prediction Center forecasts for temperature a 44% chance that they will end up above normal and a 23% chance that they will end up below normal. One temperature record was set during the month when the high of 85 on the 19th set a daily cool high record, besting the old record of 86 from 1966. Winter could pound the Northeast with a vengeance starting in mid-December before potentially intensifying in January,. Our forecasts are not direct predictions of rain/snow. NWS Climate Prediction Center College Park MD. Subscribe to azcentral.com today. With a colder air mass in place, high temperatures were in the 50's from the 12th through 16th with daily lows in the mid 20's to mid 30's from the 13th through the 17th. The average Summer temperature of 88.3 is 1.2 above normal and is well shy of the two warmest Summers on record (90.0 in 2020 & 89.9 in 1994). Click on the image to the right to see how 2022 compared to the historical record. Another quiet period followed through the 18th before returning to the daily threat of showers and thunderstorms as moisture lingered across the area through the end of the month. The yearly rainfall total of 6.14" at the Tucson International airport, the official location in Tucson, ranks as the 10th driest January through November period on record. The average yearly temperature, through the end of October, of 74.4 is 0.9 above normal and ranks as the 7th warmest on record. Yuck. For a more accurate weather forecast please select a city, Click on a day for an hourly weather forecast, Royal Palms Resort and Spa, part of Hyatt. And that would bring a significantly colder risk to much of the northern U.S. this winter, according to Crawford. A first look at Winter 2022/2023 forecast shows an obvious influence of the third-year La Nina phase. The water year is well below normal since October 1st at 2.26" which ranks as the 9th driest water year to date with three months left in the water year calendar. 3. This is the 2nd most number of days during Summer on record but well behind the record of 33 days set in 2020. Toggle navigation. Please select one of the following: Tucson, AZ Standard Radar (low bandwidth), NOAA NCEI State Climate Summary for Arizona, 2022, National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration. However, January should at least be somewhat colder than usual from parts of Washington state and northern Idaho to the northern Plains, much of the Midwest and interior Northeast into northern New England.
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